Interesting verse from Agastya Samhita - An ancient Indian treatise

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संस्थाप्य मृण्मये पात्रे ताम्रपत्रम् सुसंस्कृतम् ।

छादयेत शिखिग्नीवेनार्दाभिः काष्ठपांसुभिः ॥

दस्तालोष्ठो निघातव्यः पारदाच्छादितस्ततः ।

संयोगात जायते तेजो मित्रावरुण संज्ञितम् ॥

अनेन जलभंगोस्ति प्राणोदानेषु वायुषु।

एवम् शतानाम् कुंभानाम् संयोगः कार्यकृत्स्मृतः ॥

वायु बंधक वस्त्रेण निबद्धो यंमस्तके l

उदान: स्वलघुत्वे बिभर्त्याकाश यानकम ll

sansthaapya mrinmaye patre taamrapatram susanskritam

chhaadayet shikhigni venaardabhi kaashthpaamsubhi:

dastaaloshto nighaatavya: paaradaachhaditasta:

sanyogaat jaayate tejo mitraavarun sangyitaam

anena jala-bhangosti praanodaaneshu vayushu

evam shataanam kumbhaanam sanyoga: karyakrit smrita:

vaayu-bandhak vastrena nibaddho yan-mastake

udaan: swa-laghutve bibhartyaakaash yaanakam

"Take an earthen pot, place a copper sheet, and put the shikhigreeva in it. Then, smear it with wet sawdust, mercury and zinc. Then, if you join the wires, it will give rise to energy (Tejas) called Mitravaruna. This will lead to disintegration of water into Praan vayu and Udaan vayu. A chain of one hundred jars is said to give a very active and effective force. The Udaan Vaayu thus created can then by trapped into an air-tight cloth with some tactic. If this is achieved, owing to self-buoyancy of Udaan vayu, it is possible to build a structure capable of flying in air"

- अगस्त्य संहिता शिल्प सूत्र - From Agastya Samhita, Shilpa Sutra (theory of architecture) - Most probably composed after 500 BC.

This verse gives following information

1. energy is produced by this particular assembly of chemicals and wire, that energy is of dual nature.

2. water can be split using that energy.

3. upon splitting of water, 2 gasses are produced

4. the energy can be amplified if the cells are assembled in series.

5. There exists a material OR a fabric which is airtight and which can be harnessed to build a structure which won't allow air to escape

6. Udaan vaayu, which is produced after splitting water, can be trapped in such air-tight assembly.

7. Udaan vaayu is light and self-buoyant

8. the self-buoyancy of Udaan vaayu can be harnessed to build a structure which is capable of flying in air.

Why Mitra-Vaarun?

Mitra-Varun are twin deities like Ashwinikumar.. They always exist in pair, like Dyava-Prithvi... The energy which is generated from above mentioned assembly exists in pair and cannot exist individually.

This refers to positive and negative terminals of cell and charges of electric field. One cannot exist without another, they have to exist in pair, just like Mitra-varuna..

Just an example of analytical and deductive nature of human brain in ancient times.. This verse is attributed to a person who existed around 2000 BC, although the language is not similar to one which was prevalent in 2000 BC. This language and style of writing is Post-Paninian Sanskrit (after 500 BC).

Evolution of Raj and Bal Thackeray's ideology

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The basic attribute of Marathi people (Marathi mentality) is that typically they are not known to be businessmen. Even at the zenith of their imperial expansion, Peshwa Balajirao had to invite traders from Marwad to invest in Maharashtra start their business centres. The entrepreneurial attitude of Punjabis, Marwadis, Udupis, Gujaratis and few others is not typically seen in Marathis.

Having said that, the class which is voter-base of Raj Thackeray (RT) is the young middle class urban maharashtrians. Thus, most of them are educated. The problem with North indians (Bhaiyya as they are called) is somewhat different from the problem with South Indians (Madrasi as they are called) which BT had in 70's.

South Indians being well versed in english (Better than marathis) were easily getting higher positions in government jobs in late 60's. The Udupi lobby in Mumbai was dominating the hotel business and food industry. To disarm and eradicate communism from MH, INC supported and propped up Bal Thackeray (BT). BT must be given credit of eradicating the communism from MH for good.

BT invented "Wada-Paav" and "Jhunka-Bhaakar" and made available loans for maharashtrians to compete with outsiders in hotel businesses and other low end businesses. Marathis never had any monetary capability to enter the real-estate business of Mumbai and Bollywood. This is dominated by cash rich Sindhi and Punjabi lobby, most of which were the descendants of Shikarpur traders who liquidated their huge assets in Pakistan before coming to Mumbai after partition. Along with Marwadis and Gujaratis, these people formed the new elite of Mumbai dominating the ownership in FMCG, jewellery and Textile industry. Marathis never had chance of competing with this class. Their niche was low-end business, service, arts. Of course for uneducated, the unskilled labour-work was always present.

This mentality however was first manifested in history of independent India during Samyukta Maharashtra movement. One should understand that the linguistic pride in Marathi is not like South Indian linguistic pride shown by Tamils. This pride is more about Maratha empire. The popular metaphors in all the pride-instilling songs of that era (Samyukta Maharashtra movement and later BT) refer to Maratha horses drinking waters of Yamuna (conquest of Delhi) and Sindhu (Attock). The fundamentals behind Marathi linguistic movement and pride are based on lost empire and power and not primarily love for language. When British formalized their rule in 1858, the biggest losers in India were Marathas. This is somehow not forgotten in subconscious minds of Maharashtrians.

In current times, the threat to the social niche of marathi people in urban MH is from people of UP and Bihar. This apparent threat different from previously perceived South Indian threat in following ways..

1. South indian class which migrated to Mumbai and MH was not linguistically imposing. The Southies show much more readiness to speak the languages which Marathis understand (Marathi OR Hindi). This readiness in attitude is NOT SHOWN by North Indians from these two states. South Indians have totally different script and language, their effort to learn hindi and marathi was appreciated and acknowledged by Marathi people. From hindi speaking people, lot more is expected and it is justified. It is not really difficult to learn marathi for hindi speaker, especially since the script is same, most of the words are same. The general disinterest shown by UP-Bihar people in learning local language and customs ignites the spark and this has been the complaint of many other states (including Punjab, Himachal, Haryana, Rajasthan, South and North-east).

2. The socio-economic and political conditions of the UP-Bihar is worse than MH and rest of India. This is mostly due to the incompetent rulers which have been ruling that region for 3 to 4 decades now. The scale of migration of unskilled labour from these two states into rest of India justifies the usage of term "outrageous". The cultural arrogance coupled with fact and perception that Gangetic plains suck up the money generated by other provinces (i.e. MH) further exacerbate the tensions.

3. What is puzzling the most about RT is that the voter-base which supports him is that of educated middle class youth from urban centres. The migrants from north are mostly illiterate unskilled labourers and do the work and jobs which marathis typically have shied away from. The voter base of RT is mostly white-collared youth OR youth aspiring to do white collar jobs. This fact puzzles me the most, who is the real target of RT ?. In case of BT, it was well defined and actual.

4. The issue of importing unskilled labourers from Gangetic plains for jobs in MH which can be done by local unskilled labourers is relevant and pertinent. But Maharashtrian rural unskilled labourers (the direct beneficiaries of this RT policy) are not the voter-base of RT.

5. The urban issues raised by RT are pertinent and very well taken by marathi people - sign-boards in local language, advertisements for railway jobs in MH to be published in Marathi papers and not in Hindi papers published in UP, the Jet-airways crisis and his timely threat which was immediately effective.

6. One more reason which fuels the anger towards North Indians is the leaders who vouch for them in Mumbai and MH. The leaders like Abu Azmi, Amar Singh, Mullah Mulayam etc are totally incompetent and corrupt. Sanjay Nirupam was a Shiv-sena man and used to participate actively in "Bhaiyya-Bashing" before he was denied ticket. Hence he entered INC and started shouting against BT and RT. The locals know about his reputation. Kripashankar singh is targeted but much less; the fact that he can speak decent marathi helps.

7. Another angle is that of underworld and terrorism. The UP, especially the doab is the region from where abu salem and many other dons, thugs and terrorists have come. Muslims from Azamgarh is very popular bashing stick for RT and BT; same goes for countless illegal Bangladeshi's. The leaders who choose to stand for UPaites in Mumbai and MH are of shady character, hence the anger is further multiplied. Nitish Kumar is not criticized by RT and BT as much as Azamgarhi Abu Azmi, Mulayam, Amar singh and lalu yadav are. 

8. Over all, in my opinion, this is more about resurgence and outlet of some hidden subconscious anger in minds of Marathi people and Maharashtrians that they are left behind in the race for power-struggle of India's heartland. After B.R.Ambedkar there is no big Marathi leader who has important say in Delhi power circle. Pawar is powerful but has bad image even in MH outside his stronghold; Pramod Mahajan was promising, but is no more. The urge seen in Saatvahans, Western Chalukyas, Rashtrakootas and Marathas is exactly this same urge which is manifesting itself in form of BT and RT. This urge is to assert themselves and participate decisively in politics of Indo-Gangetic plains.

9. Since this urge, coupled with anger of lost power/importance at the hands of north (delhi - symbolized by mughal emperor) is behind emergence of this mentality, I don't think this movement can remain aloof from hindutva cause or it can divide and enervate it. Any spark in gangetic plains which calls for rallying of hindus, this region and these people will be first to jump in for that cause. BT did the same during and after 1992 riots.

P.S - Please read the comments of this article as well as other articles. I have written a elaborate post-script comparing the Tamil linguistic movement and Marathi linguistic movement which is pertinent. Also inputs of other readers are priceless..

Nuclear Terrorism - Options left for Pakistani Army and Taliban - Part 1

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Author - Dr. Shivshankar Sastry

Both the Pakistan army and their jihadi allies are rational players of the great game just like India, USA and China. They are looking for their own survival and the survival of their power and ideology. Hence They are not planning on suicide anytime soon. Furthermore,let us use Occam's razor and stop differentiating between Pakistan army and Jihadi groups. At one central level, the Islamist Pakistan army and the Jihadi groups are one and the same and their long term aims are the same. I am assuming that they have joint control over nuclear weapons.

Whatever their long term aims may be, suicide and self destruction are not on the agenda. They are willing to take losses of their cadres as long as their overall aims are achieved in the long term. They are rational enough to realise that they require some base,some land and some infrastruture to survive and have nuclear weapons. Nukes do require some facilities and personnel for maintenance and use, even if manufacture is not needed.

When it comes o the nitty gritty of survival, for the Pak Army/jihadi combine - a direct fight with the US is suicide. Especially if they nuke US forces. If the US decides to use its force on them - especially nuclear forces - they will be eliminated even if the US expends 2% of its available nuclear strength on them. So the only route to victory in the long term is to ensure that they do not provoke the US. Better still would be to get the US to keep funding them. So you can safely rule out a nuclear attack on the US or on US entities.

Now it is fashionable to state that India is a soft target. "Everyone on here knows all the truth and India is set to get nuked by a jihadi and our fizzles won't work" - this is a statement that will get no arguments because it is a comfortable bottom line for all to follow. That is why I have been asking that we step out of the boxes we have built for ourselves. It is my contention that a jihadi nuke on India is as risky as one on a US entity. India will hardly get cowed by a couple of jihadi nukes and even if our missiles are fijjiles and our nukes are 15 kt fission only - air dropped nukes and conventional forces will damage the future of the Paki Army-jihadi nexus enough to upset their longterm survival plans. So a jihadi nuke on India, is risky for Pakistan. Kasab may be claimed by lunatics in Pakistan (Like Jahil Hamid) as Hindutva agent but a nuke on India will not be looked at that way.

The question that arises is,if Paki-jihadi nukes are no good against India or the US, what use are they? They are perfect for blackmail. And they are perfect for long term protection of Paki-jihadi nukes. The blackmail is the suggestion that Paki nukes may go "out of control" if the Pakistani army is pushed too hard. So both India and the US are forced to bend to this blackmail and not push the Paki army too hard, imagining, in their naivete, that the Pakistani army is keeping control of all its nukes.

In fact rationality demands that the nukes should be spread out and distributed to all islamist factions so that is the Paki army is finally cowed down by the US and or India, the Islamist forces will still have nukes to blackmail the world.

Continued to Part 2

Nuclear Terrorism - Options left for Pakistani Army and Taliban - Part 2

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 2.5 India License.

Author - Dr. Shivshankar Sastry

Continued from Part 1

Being rational players of the game, neither India nor the US are going to attempt a direct annihilation of the Pakistani army. In that sense the Pakistani army has rightly assessed that its nuclear weapons are a true deterrent. It is not that India or the US are afraid of getting defeated, but the fear is starting a nuclear war with its horrendous consequences if it is avoidable. So a direct military threat to the Paki army is not on the cards unless they use a nuke first. But they are rational enough not to use a nuke on India or on US interests.

India does not want to see the Paki army stronger, but the US which has always supported an overly powerful Pakistani army as long as that army does the US's bidding. Until recently the Pakistani army has never been a threat to the US and the US typically arms and funds anyone who might help them if they are not seen as a threat. That is what they did to Iran after all.

But the Pakistanis have not been stupid.They outsourced their own work to irregular mufti militias. "Irregular" is the wrong term. They are regular Pakistani army-men in mufti(Kargil '99 and Kashmir '48 and '65). That way the Paki army could appear to be toeing the US line while the militias did what was needed to maintain Paki interests.

Paki army interests and jihadi interests are the same. And military threats have been neutralized by nuclear deterrence. Any non military threat to the Pakistani army from outsiders - such as cutting off funding or applying pressure on a particular border is countered by claiming that the jihadis are taking over and "Do you really want Pakistan to be occupied by jihadis". This is the same threat that is being made by Hudoodbhoy and Irfan Hussein in the Paki thread. That threat "Do you want jihadis to win" is swallowed hook line and sinker by the Americans. Luckily Indians do not fall for that. India knows that there is no difference between the Paki army and the Taliban. It is only a matter of time before the US catches on to this fact. The Pakistan army's real test of survival will come when that happens, and there are many signs that the Paki army is reading the signs exactly like this and reacting.

The ideal solution is a war with India. 26/11 was the most blatant attempt at doing that. A war with India will get the Americans pouring money into the Pakistan army. But India is not taking the bait and the US is beginning to see the light. The survival plank of the Pakistani army is collapsing without war. The Pakistani army does not want to lose. They want to survive intact and with power. Unlike the US, China and India, their power has always come from gifts, begging and blackmail - not from a powerful internal economy with a cash rich Pakistani industry filling the army's coffers. Begging and blackmail are easier, faster and "more traditional" than setting the Pakistan economy in order which is nearly impossible. Setting the Pakistan economy in order will need a downgradation of the Paki army to Sri Lankan army levels.

The only way out will be to ally with religion based interests. I would judge that some degree of nuclear expertise among the so called "Taliban" and the "jihadis" is a given. Sharing with Saudi Arabia and Iran is likely. Sunni might not like Shia, but both don't like Israel and the arming of Iran and KSA with nukes seems likely. But none of these things will help the individual leaders of the Pakistani army to survive intact with power and privileges. One possible option is to shift allegiance to the jihadi groups. See a large scale "retirement" of officers from the Pakistan army to serve as behind the scenes leaders and advisors for the Taliban(David Headley case). The official designation of some Taliban/jihadi groups as being in control of some nuclear weapons is also a possibility. Once that begins to happen, we can see a gradual winding up of the power of the Pakistan army which will become subservient to the jihadi groups. The US will resist this and try to "save" the "moderate" Pakistani army, but if that fails they will star negotiating with the Taliban and offering to pay them money for not attacking US interests.

If that happens it will really be an acknowledgement of a US that is becoming weak and handing over power to new power centers. The US begging the Taliban for favors is just the situation that the Pakistani army is looking for and the best way to do that is to keep the Taliban strong while squeezing the US to keep the Paki army strong. It is win win either way for the Paki army/Taliban combine. Another win-win situation would be to get India to make concessions on Kashmir. that will only strengthen the islamist hand and prove that their tactics are effective.

A powerful Paki army/Taliban combine with nuclear weapons is what is being sought by the forces of islamic extremism. That will be a shot in the arm for the Wahhabis of KSA, for iran as well as other assorted groups and things will get really dangerous for Israel. The threat of nuclear bombs being detonated wherever there is an Islamic interest will then become reality and nuclear terrorism will be on our doorstep.

I am currently not clear in my mind what can be done about this and what is being done about this. The US, China and India are key players here and to a lesser extent European players and Japan. And of course the "aam junta" - the people of Pakisan have a big role to play - in fact their role this may be the biggest role. Having argued above as to how the Pakistan/Army/Taliban combine have a great synergy that will keep them powerful with no guarantee that only the army will keep control of nuclear weapons we also need to look at factors that will spoil this Paki army-Taliban party.

Continued to Part three

Nuclear Terrorism - Options left for Pakistani Army and Taliban - Part 3

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 2.5 India License.

Author - Dr. Shivshankar Sastry

Continued from Part 2

India is a huge spoiler. India does not accept that there is any difference in the intention of either the Paki army or the Taliban. India will treat an attack from either entity as one and the same. Given India's strategic depth and size, whatever losses India faces, in a desperate situation neither the Paki army nor the Taliban will emerge victorious in an all out, direct confrontation. If the war goes nuclear the end result will be the same and the long term Islamist nuclear aspirations in Pakistan will be badly mauled in a debilitating war with India, no matter how much India is damaged in return. Such a war would essentially be suicidal. Even if India is badly damaged, US goals for Afghanistan will be met more easily.

India also deserves some credit for being the only player that has consistently been concerned about human development in the subcontinent - i.e roads, education and healthcare. The Pakistani army have not given a damn about that in their own country and the US has played ball with them, making the army stronger while not giving a rat's ass for human development in a Pakistan that is now inching towards 180 million people. The US has never been interested in human development of anyone other than Americans. For others funding and arms are provided to meet immediate tactical goals for the US. To be fair, the Afghans too were interested in their own human development until the US-Pakistan alliance (Soviet invasion '80s) allowed the Taliban to rape Afghanistan. So both Pakistan and the US, for their own individual interest were responsible for unleashing the Taliban on Afghanistan.

It is precisely the fact that India has stood as a solid wall against Pakistaniyat and Islamic extremism that has caused Pakistan to expand towards Afghanistan. This coincided with US anti-Soviet aims. But that led to 9-11, and now the US is the confounding factor in Afghanistan. That is why the Paki army-Taliban combine want the US out of Afghanistan, and that is what explains their game of"Pay us (the army) or we will lose to the Taliban" For the first time there is a coinciding of US and Indian interests in Afghanistan and keeping the Taliban out, while developing Afghanistan.

Pakistan resists this by claiming that India is out to surround Pakistan by its presence in Afghanistan. Pakistan also claims that it is unable to fight the Taliban because of India, and Pakistan claims that its army needs to be paid more (by the US) for fighting the Taliban. These claims are a strawman because getting India out of Afghanistan or getting Kashmir into Pakistan will in no way stop the Taliban. It will only make their survival easier. The main problem is US stupidity/blindness that keeps paying the Pakistani army that has the Taliban as an ally.

The fallout of this US blindness can have one of two consequences:

1) The US keeps on funding the Pakistan army which keeps supporting the Taliban

or

2) The US suddenly wises up and makes an effort to stop funding the Pakistan army

Scenario 1 - Let us say that the US keeps on funding the Pakistan army. The Paki army will keep on pretending to oppose the Taliban and the Taliban will remain intact and strong while the Pakistan army bets stronger. The US will keep taking losses in Afghanistan and the fissile material stock of Pakistan will keep on increasing. At least some of this will have to be spirited away for safekeeping by their Taliban allies in the hills.

If and when the US gets out of Afghanistan we will have a powerfully armed and nuclear Pakistan with poor illiterate people (as usual).Rebellion among these people wil be ruthlessly put down by the Pakistan army/Taliban combine, and the country will need external campaigns to keep the nation busy. Controlling Afghanistan will be the first step. The only question is how the US will react to this. By stopping funding to the Paki army at this late stage, the US will be reneging on its "promise" not to forsake Pakistan again, and there will be no reduction in the nuclear risk - once nuclear arms get into Afghanistan - even if they are under Paki army control.

A total Talibanization of Afghanistan and Islamization of Pakistan and a powerful Pakistan army will serve as a threat to many nations apart from India. But India's role in this would be limited to hoping that the US is not that stupid or weak. But this is a possibility that can happen. The only two possibly positive things that can happen is a renewed Russian interest in Afghanistan as Russian Islamic republics are threatened and Chinese interest as Xinjiang comes under pressure. It is hardly likely that the Taliban/Paki army combine will be worried - having seen off both the Soviets and the Americans.

Scenario 2 - On the other hand, if the US "wises up" and decides to keep engaged in Pakistan and stop funding the Pakistan army, and seeks to fund only civilian projects (with accountability) the Pakistan army will being to squeal and protest. They will start "losing" to the Taliban and try and provoke incidents with India. This is exactly what has started now and the US will feel the pressure in two ways. The first is an increase in Taliban attacks in Afghanistan, and a choking off of supply convoys from Pakistan. This is going to be a difficult phase for the US. If the US can remain engaged in AfPak and tide over hi phase we are likely to see more signs of civil war in Pakistan and more signs of the army "allowing" the Taliban to take over Pakistan.

But I believe the Pakistan army's bluff needs to be called. It is OK to have the Taliban in Swat, but Pakistani people are not going to tolerate Talibanization in the Pakistan heartland. In the fertile areas of Punjab and Sindh there will be resistance to the Taliban. The resistance will come from teh Pakistan army itself whose cadres will otherwise have to observe their own villages and homes being over run by the Taliban. It is one thing to love the Talibs as long as they are in FATA. It is different when they are in your home town.

But if the Taliban come so deep into the Pakistani heartland - the elite are finished. They will flee in numbers. If a Pak army-Taliban war starts in earnest in Pakistan, we can expect to see a nuke exploding in Pakistan if the Pakistanis have already made the error of handing over control of some nukes to the forces of jihad. If they have no yet done that - then they will be fighting a last ditch battle to protect the nukes. In the long term it is better to squeeze Pakistan and reduce its ability to make nukes. China may not want that - They need to be persuaded using Xinjiang Card.